With the Super Bowl next Sunday and the 2009 NFL Season nearly in the books, it’s time to look forward to our favorite off-season weekend….THE NFL DRAFT! I’ve been projecting and mulling over several selections throughout the top ten and entire first round the last sevearl weeks, and finally put all of my thoughts together this afternoon to complete my initial 1st round projections. I usually come out with my first 1st round picks at the end of January, then I will follow that up with version 2.0 after the combine in late February (Micah and Tory – you better remember my final mock draft for the 2008 draft where I had 8 of the 1st 10 picks correct, including one trade…believe it).
There will be numerous shake-ups in the top ten, and entire first round until the draft forecast comes completely clear in the next few months heading into the third weekend in March when it all goes down. Kiper and his sweet hair came out with his initial 1st round projections last week and the web went buzzing…let me try and do the same.
1) Rams – Ndamakong Suh, DT, Nebraska - Most dominant DT to come out since Warren Sapp. He’s a game changer, and the Rams will have a great young duo with Suh and Chris Long playing alongside each other for years to come. They’ll pass on a qb this draft, win 2 games next year, and finally cave by taking a franchise qb in 2011…thus ruining that young man’s what would have been illustrious career.
2) DET – Gerald McCoy, DT, OU - The Lions D-line hasn’t been the same since they dealt Shaun Rodgers two years ago. McCoy beefs up their line tremendously. Grady Jackson and Sammie Hill just aren’t cutting up front. McCoy and DeWayne White make a solid DT-DE combo in a slowly improving front seven. There’s been some talk about McCoy perhaps slipping out of the top five to the six spot if the Lions don’t grab him here, but he’s too good to pass up. If they choose otherwise, Detroit will go with Tennessee stud safety Eric Berry. Berry and second year man Louis Delmas would make for the most talented, imposing safety duo in the league. Some scouts have Berry over Suh as the top prospect in this year’s draft class.
3) Bucs – Eric Berry, S, TENN – At this point, Berry looks like a lock for the top three, which blows my plan for the Niners to trade up and to the 5th pick and take him out of the water. Some project Berry going a pick before to Detroit, but second overall may be too high to select a safety, where he’ll fall in the laps of Tampa Bay. Bucs will have a superstar safety in the making and a player they can build their young defense around in the future. Bucs have rebuilt their D from those Kiffin teams of years past and can make Berry the centerpiece of that side of the ball for the next decade.
4) Skins – Sam Bradford, QB, OU – Shanahan doesn’t like Jason Campbell’s skill set and wants to start fresh with his own QB he can mold and teach from Day 1 in Daniel Snyder Land. Bradford is a franchise QB with all the skills to become an elite QB at the next level. His only problem is durability. He needs to beefen up in order to take the pounding that goes with a 16-game NFL schedule. Hey Sammy B, give freaking Brady Quinn a shout and get his workout routine for crying out loud. That guy’s yoked and could definitely help your career out. Plus, he might get a Myoplex contract out of it. The combine will be his proving ground to show scouts that his throwing shoulder is healed from those two surgeries last year.
5) Chefs – Russell Okung, LT, OK St. – Jamaal Charles is going to be stoked when this pick goes down. This draft class is loaded with talented o-linemen, especially in the 1st round, and Okung is the best of them all. KC snags him at this spot completing their o-line rebuilding project that started when Willie Roaf and Will Shields retired three seasons ago. Now they have Brandon Albert and Russell Okung, two outstanding young tackles, practically assurring Charles of a 1,500 yard season and his 1st Pro-Bowl selection next year. Have a feeling KC won’t be missing LJ at all real soon.
6) Seahawks – Jimmy “The Emu” Clausen, QB, Notre Dame – Pete Carroll starts his tenure off in Seattle with a young, talented qb, and one he’s very familiar with. Jimmy The Emu, as Trojan fans have come accustomed to calling him over the years (because he looks like a freaking emu), has the tools to be a stud QB in the NFL, he just needs the working parts around him in the Seahawks offense to improve. Bye, bye Hasselbeck and Julius Jones. Look for “Barfight” Jimmy to start in 2011 once Hasselbeck’s contract expires after this next season. (Sidenote: I think Justin Forsett can play, not just saying that cuz he’s a Pac-10 product or anything, but this kid can bring it and deserves to be a starting RB in the NFL and a 3rd round fantasy selection next season….and just think that Julius Jones flat out sucks.)
7) Browns – Joe Haden, CB, UF (University of Felons) – Cleveland need another solid cover man opposite Eric Wright (former Trojans who got kicked off the team in ‘05 for having bottles of date rape pills in his dorm room, but that’s besides the point). Brandon McDonald just isn’t cutting it and Haden is a massive upgrade and the best overall corner in this year’s draft class (which is a weak class for corners, but Haden is a legit top ten pick). OTHER POSSIBILITIES: There’s an outside chance they take Dez Bryant here because of the need at WR, but that’s only if they trade Joshua Cribbs in the off-season.
Raiders – Dez Bryant, WR, Ok. St – Dez will probably run a 4.25 at the combine, giving Al Davis a near heart attack and making him their selection here. Regardless, Bryant will go in the top 12 picks. If not here, then to Denver if they get rid of Brandon Marshall, or The Dolphins to be their go-to man beside Ted Ginn. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Taylor Mays. Al loves freaky athletes, and the don’t get much freakier than T. Mays, who will light up the combine later this month…LOCK IT UP!
9) Bills – Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland – Kiper has Campbell falling all the way to the mid-20s, but I think this kid’s too good to fall that far. He may, but with a good combine he should go within the first 15 picks. To be honest, the pick here is probably going to be Anthony Davis, but I really want my 49ers to take him, so I’m leaving him on the board til then. Bflo needs help on the o-line and they’ll get it with this pick, whoever it may be. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Bryan Bulaga, LT, Iowa or Trent Williams, T, OU.
10) Broncos – Derrick Morgan, DE/OLB, Georgia Tech – The Broncos flat out piss me off with this pick taking my guy I most want to fall to 13 and into the hands of my Niners. But, Denver snipes the stud DE/OLB here, improving a young, up and coming defense. Morgan will combo well with fellow OLB/DE Robert Ayers off the edge, who was a Broncos 1st round selection last year.
11) Jags – Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama – McClain is a flat out playmaker. He led the nation’s number one defense all year long, and then to a National title. Saban & Co. will sincerely miss this stud. Young MLB Justin Durant needs help alongside him in the LB core. McClain will fill the need, and fill it effectively.
12) Phins – Trent Williams, T, OU – Williams is a massive man with a huge frame, much like is teammate last year and now Minnesota Viking Phil Loadholt (except Loadhold is a Guard). I am sold on this guy and think he will be stellar in the league for years to come. He will play will beside fellow tackle and All-Pro Jake Long.
13) Niners – Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers – McShay has him going in the top five and Kiper in the top ten. That may be a bit too high in my mind for Davis, even though he is a baller and has the makings of a future All-Pro at RT. He was injured for quite some time in his three years in Piscataway, but when healthy this kid is a beast. A highly sought after recruit coming out of high school, Davis has lived up to the hype that came with being a HS All-American. Niners LT Joe Staley and Davis will be the foundation for the 49ers o-line for the future. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: CJ Spiller, Derrick Morgan if he falls, Bruce Campbell, Trent Williams, Bryan Bulaga.
14) Seahawsk – CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson – Pete starts fresh picking a QB and RB that both came out after their JR seasons with Seattle’s two first rounders. Spiller is a dynamic return man to go along with Olymplic caliber speed and will be like a better, taller version of Darren Sproles, and a player in the Chris Johnson type mold. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Taylor Mays
15) Giants – Brian Price, DT, UCLA – People don’t know how freaking good this kid is cuz he played his HS and college ball out on the west coast in LA. He didn’t get the attention and hype Suh or McCoy got, but he will add to what already is an excellent Giants d-line. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Sergio Kindle, LB, UT
16) Niners - Taylor Mays, S, USC – Niners make my year and take one of my favorite college players in T. Mays. If you know me at all, you know that I have had a man crush on T. Mays since he was a 5-star and highly hyped athlete coming out of O’Dea HS in Seattle, Washington in 2006. Mays would have been a top ten lock last year if he left early, but decided to stay and earn his degree while playing his final year for the Men of Troy. T. Mays and Dashon Goldson would be two young stud safeties in the Niners secondary. Wow I really hope this pick comes to fruition. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Carlos Dunlap, Bryan Bulaga, Everson Griffen)
17) Titans – Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida – Not much attention given to this kid as well, but has some major ability without question. Titants need some help on the d-line after losing Haynesworth last season.
18) Steelers – Carlos Dunlap, DE, UF – Another University of Felons product that left early. Dunlap got a DUI the week before the Alabama game, and his punishment – missing the first half….wow, Urban. Don’t be too strict with your felons. Anywho, Dunlap is money when focused on football and not clowning or wasted. In short, he has a ton of ability, Dunlap just needs to keep his head on straight. C
19) Cards – Bryan Bulaga, LT, Iowa – They have RT Levi Brown (who has disappointed afte being a top five pick two years ago), and are badly in need of a young, talented LT. Jeremy Bridges just isn’t the answer. Enter Bryan Bulaga.
20) Texans- Terrance “Mount” Cody, DT, Alabama – Cody is a massive man, but needs to shed some weight and get more committed to playing football. Just check out the picture of him with his shirt on at the Senior Bowl last week. Andre Smith was laughing at him. There was a report that Cody gained 15 pounds from Christmas to the Senior Bowl hitting the scale at 370…now that’s some eating. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Carlos Dunlap, Everson Griffen
21) Bengals – Jermaine Gresham, TE, OU – Bengals still need a go-to TE besides Chase Coffman, and they get it with Gresham here who would have probably gone in the first ten picks of last years draft is he hadn’t returned to Norman for his senior season…only to get injured for the year in the first game. Ouch.
22) Patriots – Dan Williams, DT, TENN – To be hones the Pats will probably choose otherwise, its just that I couldn’t find any other place to put Williams right now, and all scouts have him going in the 1st round. I’ll put him someplace different in version 2.0.
23) Slackers (Packers) – Charles Brown, LT, USC - Brown may go higher after a good combine, but Packers o-line sucks. But, theire D sucks ever worse, which might prompt GM Ted Thompson to with the other side of the pigskin here. Brown was a three-year starter at USC and always extremely consistent even while playing with nagging injuries.
24) Eagles – Everson Griffen, DE, USC – Another guy who will probably improve his draft stock at the combine. The man is a physical freak. At 280 he’s been clocked at a 4.5…ridiculous speed, folks…PAC-10 SPEED!!! Eagles would be lucky to grab him here if possible. He’d go well alongside fellow USC alum DT Mike Patterson on the Philly d-line.
25) Ravens – Brandon Spikes, LB, UF – Yet another University of Felon product…and yet another University of Felon with a rap sheet…(gouging dude in the eye earlier this season). Spikes falls to Baltimore due to character issues. (Check out the eye gouge against Georgia last year for yourself – pictured on the right) OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Arrelious Benn, Brandon LaFell, Golden Tate, Damian Williams, Aaron Hernandez
26) Cards – Sergio Kindle, LB, UT – Another talented LB that falls due to character concerns. Kindle and Spikes were both huge five-star prospects coming out of high school, and mostly lived up to the billing at the next level. We’ll see if they can keep it coming once they enter The Shield.
27) Cowboys – Damian Williams, WR, USC – Most Dallas fans are pushing for an o-lineman in the 1st, but with Roy Williams recent struggles and the lack of consistency with Patrick Crayton along with the inexperience of Kevin Ogletree, Jerry Jones may go with D-Will here to add another playmaker on what is already a top five offense. But, if the Boys go out and get a high profile name like Randy Moss or Brandon Marshall, Jerry will go o-line with this pick. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Arrelious Benn, Golden Tate, Mike Iupati, Guard, Idaho
28) Chargers – Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech – I originally had RB Jahvid Best in this spot til I wrote this version, and Best may very well end up being this pick. Chargers need to groom a young, go-to, three-down RB to take over for LT, whose days in San Diego may be over. Dwyer is a good one, but I think Best would be the best pick in this spot (Burger pun!).
29) Jets – Earl Thomas, S, UT – Thomas may go earlier when all is said and done, but the Jets need another playmaker in the secondary if teams aren’t going to throw to whomever Darelle Revis is covering. They will have a big need on their hands if CB Kerry Rhoades does not return.
30) Vikes – Jerry Hughes, OLB/DE, TCU - Hughes is a tenacious pass rusher, and may be gone at the point, but imagine the Minnesota d-line with this kid as well…scary. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Patrick Robinson, CB, FSU, Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
31) Saints – Brandon Graham, DE/OLB, Michigan – Graham tore it up in the Senior Bowl being named the game’s MVP and earning a spot in the late first round in the process. OTHER POSSIBILITIES: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Mizzou, Navarro Bowman, LB, PSU
32) Colts – Mike Iupati, G, Idaho – Colts always get steals late in the first round – ex: Joseph Addai, Marlin Jackson, Anthony Gonzalez…and Iupati will be not different. (Here’s another pic of T. Mays, just cuz he’s that freaking awesome. It’s from a Trojans practice with him showing off his vert.Man…it’s just not fair!)